Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.121002 2.434640 2.781622 3.194464 3.672953 4.210868 4.862557
2025-05-25 1.581287 1.983194 2.471162 3.109398 3.925417 4.938110 6.296901
2025-06-01 1.340280 1.784513 2.358982 3.160709 4.257747 5.716435 7.819867
2025-06-08 1.180400 1.649739 2.288639 3.228989 4.589855 6.506151 9.441485
2025-06-15 1.042283 1.518063 2.194723 3.237177 4.820582 7.164114 10.948624
2025-06-22 0.912893 1.378289 2.065999 3.168836 4.917051 7.621453 12.199701
2025-06-29 0.814426 1.270362 1.967926 3.128292 5.041170 8.123292 13.574125
2025-07-06 0.727069 1.168180 1.864758 3.062938 5.110464 8.535762 14.843989
2025-07-13 0.698021 1.155004 1.899754 3.224422 5.571320 9.648924 17.473240
2025-07-20 0.643044 1.092302 1.845357 3.225613 5.751726 10.293372 19.339015
2025-07-27 0.611223 1.065170 1.847316 3.323764 6.113791 11.302421 22.026425
2025-08-03 0.568504 1.014205 1.801765 3.329290 6.302368 12.007335 24.211774
2025-08-10 0.522400 0.957445 1.748884 3.332898 6.523597 12.873987 27.018819
2025-08-17 0.467886 0.880212 1.651793 3.243974 6.560483 13.402040 29.259366
2025-08-24 0.437538 0.844892 1.629034 3.297645 6.893028 14.584152 33.147846
2025-08-31 0.412443 0.816667 1.616266 3.369071 7.271945 15.921352 37.642577
2025-09-07 0.383621 0.777499 1.576620 3.377638 7.513134 16.987920 41.690308
2025-09-14 0.350484 0.725671 1.504783 3.306147 7.561718 17.616959 44.763910
2025-09-21 0.323486 0.683826 1.449257 3.263735 7.671428 18.406825 48.406718
2025-09-28 0.297189 0.640665 1.386066 3.195376 7.708499 19.023260 51.703478
2025-10-05 0.291324 0.641952 1.421369 3.364294 8.357783 21.293657 60.085565
2025-10-12 0.273795 0.614968 1.389432 3.365540 8.579413 22.481649 65.579876
2025-10-19 0.264429 0.605811 1.397792 3.468222 9.082735 24.512534 74.047146